The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has
published its Special Report on the Impact of Global Warming of 1.5
degrees C. Its press release can be viewed here, and
aficianados of climate change literature can read a 24 page summary
here.
The report highlights a number of climate change impacts that
could be avoided by limiting global warming to 1.5ºC compared to
2ºC, or more. For instance, by 2100, global sea level rise would be
10 cm lower with warming of 1.5°C compared with 2°C. The likelihood
of an Arctic Ocean free of sea ice in summer would be once per
century with global warming of 1.5°C, compared with at least once
per decade with 2°C. Coral reefs would decline by 70-90 percent
with global warming of 1.5°C, whereas virtually all (> 99
percent) would be lost with 2ºC.
The report emphasises that 'every extra bit of warming matters,
especially since warming of 1.5ºC or higher increases the risk
associated with long-lasting or irreversible changes, such as the
loss of some ecosystems.' It also makes clear that is that 'we are
already seeing the consequences of 1°C of global warming through
more extreme weather, rising sea levels and diminishing Arctic sea
ice, among other changes.'
In order to limit warming to 1.5 degrees, the report states that
human caused net CO2 emissions must be reduced by 45% from 2010
levels, by 2030. This needs to be followed by net zero emissions
globally by 2050 (i.e. any emissions are balanced by other actions
which draw carbon from the air).
It is all sobering stuff, but it is important to continue to
believe that we can make a difference personally in the choices we
make, by lobbying and campaigning and by making the argument for
action on climate change whenever the opportunity presents itself;
in the pub, workplace, wherever.
For starters, here are two petitions which we can support:
firstly from 350.org, secondly
from Greenpeace.
Keep an eye on future editions of the newsletter, for further
news.